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L'AUTO FRANCO-RUSSE

 
           
   

France-Russia Automotive

     
           

N° 13

July 2012

 

Les Lettres du Fil

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Français     English     Russian

           

France-Russia Automotive (Auto Franco-Russe) is an economic newsletter focusing on the development of the Western automotive groups’ business in Russia. France-Russia Automotive is distributed both on paper and electronically. To receive the next issues for a free trial you only need to subscribe on our website: www.autofrancorusse.fr. France-Russia Automotive is published by Agence du Fil SARL Company, whose publications are devoted to the Franco-Russian trade.

 
         
   
RUSSIA PREPARES FOR THE WTO
   
THE RENAULT-NISSAN ALLIANCE’S TAKEOVER OF AVTOVAZ IS ON TRACK
   
SUPPLIERS FACE UP TO THE DIFFICULTIES OF THE RUSSIAN MARKET
   
VW DEMANDS COMPENSATION FROM THE RUSSIAN GOVERNMENT
   
GM INCREASES ITS PRODUCTION CAPACITY AND ITS STAFF
   
FORD IS INCREASING ITS PRODUCTION SITES
   
PSA PEUGEOT CITROEN PRIORITISES THE C-SEGMENT FOR LOCAL ASSEMBLY
   
FIAT IS DROPPED BY SBERBANK
   
MARRIAGE BETWEEN MAZ AND KAMAZ: THE RUSSIAN AND BELARUSIAN GOVERNMENTS GET INVOLVED
   
THE USED CAR MARKET: STRONG POTENTIAL, ARTIFICIALLY DIMINISHED
   
THE ALL-STEEL TYRE MARKET IS ATTRACTING MICHELIN
   
THE INCREASE IN SALES FALLS SLIGHTLY IN THE RUSSIAN MARKET
   
THE NUMBER OF WESTERN CARS VARIES ACCORDING TO REGION
   
IN BRIEF
Nissan, VW, the Russian parliament, Cordiant (ex Sibur Russian Tyres), Yokohama, Pneuform, Continental…  
   
MILESTONES
the figures of the market  
   
AGENDA
the next events of the automotive market in Russia  
   
         
 

In this issue

     
         
 

Russia's impending membership of the WTO is intriguing Western car manufacturers. What will be the impact of the expected reduction in customs duties on the market for cars assembled locally? Fearful of an influx of used cars after the customs barriers are removed, the Russian government is in the process of setting up new ones in their place at its borders.
The Russian car market is showing some signs of slowing down. After feverish growth at the end of the recession, now is the time to consolidate results.
Renault and Nissan are continuing their efforts to take control of Avtovaz which is still the local leader but suffering a slowdown. Other Western manufacturers that are already in place are looking to increase their production sites anticipating an increased demand.

   
   

The Editor

   
         
         
  EVENT      
     
 

RUSSIA PREPARES FOR THE WTO

 
 

 

   
 

Fearing for the future of the local car industry, the Russian government is preparing new customs barriers to replace those that are to be phased out.

   
       
 

Russia's imminent entry into the WTO, the next stage of which is planned for July 2012, is striking fear into Russian administrations. They fear above all the disappearance of customs barriers they had put up in order to favour car assembly at home. Current duties, 30% for cars and 25% for heavy goods vehicles, will come down progressively so they no longer exceed 15%. The Russian government is hoping for a long implementation schedule, up to 7 years, so it can modify them progressively.
This is also causing concern among manufacturers. "We think that entry into the WTO will reduce local car production. This may reach up to 20% of volume and will above all affect local brands positioned in the low end of the market" said Bruno Ancelin, director-general of Renault Russia during the latest Russian Automotive Forum in Moscow. The manufacturer thinks that with the reduction in customs barriers, the price of local cars will then be identical to those of western used cars in the higher segment. This would encourage consumers to choose Western used cars that are reputed to be more reliable than locally designed new vehicles.
The question is naturally worrying Renault as its local partner Avtovaz, of which the French manufacturer currently holds 25% and probably 51% at the end of 2012, produces locally designed low-end vehicles. This is a good opportunity then to apply some pressure on its partner to encourage it to abandon its antediluvian models some of which are almost 40 years old and develop some Western cars.
"This phenomenon of new competition will hit the passenger car segment, but LCVs will be less affected here as importing logistics are more complicated", says Bruno Ancelin. He also notes about Russia's entry into the WTO will not wipe out several advantages of setting up local operations, particularly a reduced dependency on the rouble exchange rate for vehicles intended for the domestic market.
For its part, the Russian government is in the process of creating new taxes on entry to its market. Today, a specific customs barrier set up by the Russian administration at the beginning of 2009 is still preventing the importing of used cars. This barrier takes the form of a minimum charging of customs duties that considerably increases the price of old cars. For example, to import a four-year old petrol-engine 1.6 L vehicle, the minimum duty would be €2400 or more depending on the model but for a six-year-old car, the this increases to €4600. With the WTO, this tax will progressively come down so it no longer exceeds €560.
The Russian government has decided to keep the customs barrier under another name. The principle of a new "eco-tax" has just been approved by Parliament. It should come into force from August 2012. According to the text currently being discussed by the government, this tax will "ensure vehicles can be used at the end of their life cycle". Only manufacturers that import vehicles will have to pay it immediately. According to the information that has filtered out, it will be between $500 and $1500 for a new vehicle and four times more for a used one. This is considerably more than the customs barrier that it will replace. The eco-tax for used trucks will be as high as €10,000.

A simple commitment for local manufacturers

Local and Western manufacturers that assemble in Russia will only have to promise to invest an equivalent amount to create recycling circuits for their products. This is a commitment with no deadline or constraint. Western manufacturers that both import and assemble in Russia will have to pay the tax on the imported vehicles, but not assembled cars for which they are to commit to creating recycling circuits.
Major absentees from the calculations for this new eco-tax are local cars that are much older and have an unfortunate propensity to pollute. As a Russian car expert explains, it wouldn't be acceptable for his tax to apply to everybody, "If a tax was adopted and applied to all cars, it would affect above all people on low incomes, Lada owners who still comprise almost half of vehicles on the road". This is an unacceptable idea for a government that considers this low income population as its electoral base.
"This measure not only aims to protect Russian car manufacturers, we are also looking to improve the environment. We are pleased with this new instrument... it will enable us to bar the importing of non-eco-friendly vehicles, above all used vehicles" said Alexey Rachmanov, a senior official responsible for the car industry and the Russian Ministry of Industry in an interview. Russian leaders are not hiding their intention to rebuild the barriers they were supposed to be bringing down. It remains to be seen what recourse the WTO will offer Western manufacturers that consider themselves to be wronged.

   
 

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  STRATEGIES      
       
     
 

THE RENAULT-NISSAN ALLIANCE’S TAKEOVER OF AVTOVAZ IS ON TRACK

   
 

 

   
 

The partners reached a preliminary agreement on the conditions for forming a joint company with the Russian public shareholder.

   
       
 

The Renault-Nissan alliance has come to an agreement on the control of the Russian manufacturer Avtovaz. Renault currently owns 25% of Avtovaz, acquired for a little more than $1 billion in 2008. According to the terms of the preliminary agreement set out in a Letter of Intention Memorandum of Understanding signed in May 2012, the alliance will create a joint venture company with the Russian public holding company Russian Technologies (Rosstekhnologii). The different shareholdings will be distributed in this joint company that will eventually hold 74.5% of Avotovaz. The alliance will hold 67.13 of the joint company and will then become the owner of 50.01% of Avotovaz. Renault will provide $300 million for the operation and Nissan $450 million. The money will be paid in several stages between now and 2014. It will be used to purchase missing shares in Avtovaz, currently held by the investment bank Troïka Dialog.
The Russian government represented by Russian Technologies will give up part of the public aid paid to Avovtaz before and during the recession. The total amount of this aid has never been made public but it is estimated to be between $3 and $4 per billion, $2.5 billion of which was given in 2009 alone. In exchange, Russian Technologies will receive a profit from the sale of Avtovaz’s non-strategic assets. Another $1.5 billion of this debt will be transformed into an interest-free 20 to 30 year long-term loan from Russian Technologies.
RenauIt has made the most of the negotiations to review the conditions of its share in setting up a new assembly line at Avtovaz. This new line will have a capacity of 350,000 to 380,000 units per year and will assemble cars under the three brands. It will cost €400 million. Under the initial agreement, Avtovaz will contribute €100 million, Nissan €60 million and Renault €240 million. Only €114 million of the French manufacturer's contribution will be as a donation. Renault will pay the remaining €126 million as a loan to the company.
The final agreement on all transactions could be signed before the end of 2012 according to Russian Technologies but the partners are still negotiating the conditions and the different audits are in progress.

   
       
 

Learn more about Avtovaz, Renault and Nissan in Russia

   
       
 

Avtovaz’s sales grew sharply after the recession with an increase of 48% in 2010 when the manufacturer sold 523,000 units largely due to a "scrappage premium" paid by the Russian government. With the end of this subsidy in mid-2011, sales started to erode with a drop of 17% in November 2011 compared to November 2010 and 15% down in December 2011 compared to December 2010. They grew by 11% for the entire year of 2011 when the average growth in the market was 39%. The manufacturer nevertheless had sales of €4.37 billion in 2011, an increase of 27.6% on the previous year. However, this figure was calculated according to Russian accounting rules that do not always give a true image of the company's health. The trend towards falling sales continued in 2012 with a fall of 14% in the first six months and even 18% in June 2012. Apparently, it is time for the manufacturer to update its offering.
Renault sold 154,734 units in Russia in 2011, or 60% more than in 2010. Its sales were 95,579 units for the first six months of 2012, an increase of 29%. Nissan sold 138,827 units in 2011, an increase of 74%. In the first six months of 2012, it sold 79,494, an increase of 34%.

   
 

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SUPPLIERS FACE UP TO THE DIFFICULTIES OF THE RUSSIAN MARKET

   
       
 

From a deficiency in human resources to a lack of certain raw materials, suppliers in the Russian market have much to complain about. In addition, the local partners’ methods of working may surprise Western manufacturers.

   
       
 

Many Western manufacturers are coming to Russia and its available resources are starting to run out. Suppliers shared their thoughts on this difficult subject at the latest Russian Automated Forum organised by Adam Smith Conferences in Moscow last Spring.
"The Russian market has become expensive and it is increasingly difficult to find staff. On the industrial park in Dimitrovgrad are where we are based, we come find anyone!" says Stefaan Vandevelde, president of Delphi Russia. The equipment manufacturer works in the country on two joint ventures, one in Dimitrovgrad and the others in Samara and Surgut, specialists in wiring and plastic parts. It is Renault’s supplier for the Duster, the GM-Avtovaz joint venture as well as Avtovaz and Sollers.
"There is a constant lack of qualified staff in Russia in sales and services segments. Also, logistics in specialist transport have improved a little, but we still need more car transporter lorries”, adds Marcus Osegowitsch, General Director of Volkswagen Group Rus.
"Unreliable quality is a major problem that prevents local equipment producers from becoming suppliers of Western manufacturers. They can produce the most complex things, but only once. It's impossible to maintain quality with volumes" says Roman Gan, director of Intercos-IV, a local supplier of tools for the car industry. He points out that another failing of local suppliers is their inability to meet commitments, "An equipment manufacturer can go to see his customer and say – OK, my landlord has increased my rent by 100% so from next month my sales price will also be multiplied by two! You'll never get a Western customer to accept that argument..."
Deficient human resources and the unreliable quality of suppliers are not the only problems equipment manufacturers face in Russia. Some raw materials are also becoming rare commodities. "Certain types of resistant steel required to produce exhaust systems are not available in Russia and they have to be imported. The lack of raw materials poses limits on the localisation of component production. This may seem paradoxical but it is sometimes cheaper to import entire parts than to produce them locally", confirms Dmitry Osipov General Director of Eberspaecher Exhaust Systems Rus. His company imports pipes for exhausts with no customs duty. However, customs duties apply even to imports of steel sheets. "We import hooks for exhausts. The customs officers couldn’t find this article on their lists so they decided to apply their name "hooks for hats" and imposed a 20% tax", adds Dmitry Osipov.
"We are counting on Russia's joining the WTO to be able to import quality raw materials, above all steel, at prices that are more accessible than currently", says Kirill Epstein, the Gaz Group’s Director of Autocomponents Division. "But the reduction in customs duties on imports of car components may also adversely affect the advantages of Western equipment manufacturers installing their factories in Russia", he adds. He's not the only one to ask the question, other manufacturers are sharing these fears. Car manufacturers are interested in local equipment producers as they would like to produce locally. If it was more advantageous for manufacturers to import, what would become of their investment projects?

   
 

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  NEWS      
     
 

VW DEMANDS COMPENSATION FROM THE RUSSIAN GOVERNMENT

   
       
 

"With Russia's entry into the WTO, a contradiction will appear between this organisation's rules and those imposed by decree 166 on Western manufacturers in Russia", says Marcus Osegowitsch, General Director of Volkswagen Group Rus. Adopted by the government in 2005, this decree offered exemptions on custom duties for imported components to any manufacturer that committed to setting up a local production plant with conditions on volume and localisation of components. VW invested almost €775 million in its plant in Kalouga to produce 165,000 units a year and €200 million in an assembly partnership with Gaz that was to produce 110,000 units in order to comply with decree 166. Now, VW is asking the Russian government to put in place compensation mechanisms. The "special economic zones" created by the government to attract manufacturers has become another subject of discord. "With their system of special regimes, these zones create a distortion of competition as the same rules do not apply to the entire country", says Marcus Osegowitsch.

   
 

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GM INCREASES ITS PRODUCTION CAPACITY AND ITS STAFF

   
       
 

"With 243,000 cars sold in 2011, or 84,000 more than in 2010, we are claiming a 9% share of the Russian market" said Jim Bovenzi, President and Managing Director GM Russia & CIS at the Russian Automotive Forum. Its Chevrolet range has been the leading Western brand in the Russian market for five years already. The GM plant in St Petersburg operates 20 hours a day and 6 days a week to supply this market. However, this capacity is still not sufficient and the manufacturer has signed a local assembly agreement with Gaz in order to bring in additional industrial capacity. It has put in place a plan to extend its St Petersburg factory whose capacity should increase from 98,000 units currently to 230,000 units in 2015. Staff will also be increased to 4,000 compared to 2,500 today. This expansion is required to meet the local production requirements of 350,000 units a year planned in its new agreement with the Russian government signed in May 2011 and offers the manufacturer certain customs advantages. In all, the manufacturer plans to invest up to $1 billion in Russia over the next five years. Another agreement has been signed with the assembler Azia Avto in Kazakhstan.

   
 

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FORD IS INCREASING ITS PRODUCTION SITES

   
       
 

Ford has decided to boost its growth in the Russian market by forming a joint venture with local assembler Sollers. "We were the first to produce in Russia in Vsevolojsk from 2002, but our production capacity is not growing as quickly as demand. We were looking for a partner to increase these and we found one with Sollers" says Ted Cannis, Ford-Sollers’ CEO. According its statistics, the American manufacturer was the second largest in the Russian market with 116,000 cars sold in 2006. However, with the progressive arrival of its competitors, it fell back to ninth with 118,000 cars sold in 2011. It works primarily the C-segment but considers it is not sufficiently involved especially in B and SUV segment where demand is very strong. The joint venture should provide it with new production facilities in Sollers plants in Elabuga and Nabejnie Chelny, two sites located in Tatarstan. The first entity, a 50-50 joint venture should become fully operational at the end of 2014 or at the beginning of 2015. Its capacity should reach 350,000 vehicles a year. The second entity is intended to assemble running gears and should be operational 12 months after the first one according to Ted Cannis. The manufacturer should also be able to install stamping lines on the site. 35% of assembly will be local the first year and should reach 60% in the sixth year of the joint venture. This is a very ambitious forecast for this market. Its partner Sollers has obtained funding of almost $1.2 billion from VEB, a Russian semi-public bank, for this project.

   
 

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PSA PEUGEOT CITROEN PRIORITISES THE C-SEGMENT FOR LOCAL ASSEMBLY

   
       
 

"The share of first purchases for a car across the entire Russian car market is 37%, much more than in Europe!" noted Bernd Schantz, CEO of PSA Peugeot Citroën Russia, Ukraine and CIS, speaking at the Russian Automotive Forum. According to his analyses, these "newcomers" essentially choose a vehicle in the budget segment from the local models or from the B-segment. When they upgrade, they upgrade to the C-segment. The manufacturer has opted to assemble cars in the C-segment in its Kalouga plant. This plant with a capacity of 120,000 units per year has operated on a partial SKD assembly mode since August 2010. Complete CKD assembly under the Peugeot brand should start in 2012 and Citroen will follow in 2013. The B- segment, intended for first purchases and young drivers, will be supplied with imports. This will also be the case for the higher segment and LCVs. We hope the rouble stays stable. "The variation in the rouble exchange rate is very important for an importer!" underlines Bernd Schantz. The French manufacturer sales reach 60,000 in 2008 before dropping off to 42,000 in 2009 and increasing to 72,000 in 2011. It hopes to reach 90,000 in 2012.

   
 

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FIAT IS DROPPED BY SBERBANK

   
       
 

Sberbank has decided to defer its participation in the joint venture with Fiat. The Russian public bank was to provide funding for a project for an assembly plant in the region of St Petersburg. The plant was to assemble SUVs under the Jeep brand with a capacity of 120,000 units a year. In addition, the bank was hoping to interest the manufacturer in the abandoned Zil plant in Moscow whose debts it has inherited. Fiat has indeed been looking for a new site to assemble its Ducato LCVs since the end of its partnership with Sollers at the beginning of 2012. A Letter of Intention (Memorandum of Understanding) was signed last February in Turin. The overall budget for these projects was estimated to be €850 million. In exchange for its participation, the Sberbank was demanding up to 20% ownership of the new company. However, in mid June the bank decided to defer its participation "for technical reasons". In Russian administration language, this means that the local partner did not get what it wanted.

   
 

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MARRIAGE BETWEEN MAZ AND KAMAZ: THE RUSSIAN AND BELARUSIAN GOVERNMENTS GET INVOLVED

   
       
 

The Russian and Belarusian governments seem to have found a solution that will move the merger of Kamaz, a Russian manufacturer of heavy goods vehicles and Maz, its Belarusian equivalent forward. The Belarusian has a large presence in the Russian market where it achieves two thirds of its sales. The two manufacturers are in a merciless price war in the different heavy goods segments. Discussions about possible merger have been in progress for a long time but the partners have not been able to progress. In June 2012, they announced that they had found a format for a common structure called Rosbelavto. The Russian government will provide some or all of the 49.9% share of Kamaz that it holds through a public holding company Rosbelavto whilst the Belarusian government will invest part of Maz that it wholly owns. Parity now needs to be found between the two companies as well as an agreement as to the valuation of their contributions. Kamaz is valued at $1.6 billion and Maz at $1.1 billion. $800 million of this is for the plant and the remainder for its integrated suppliers according to an analysis by Ernst & Young carried out at the request of the parties. Kamaz announced sales of €2.2 billion in 2011 and €1 million of losses. Maz’s results are not made public; the company sells up to 20,000 units per year. If the format of the company seems to meet the requirements of the parties, there is still no agreement on its management. Mr. Lukashenko, the eccentric Belarusian President is not ready to release control of his company. In addition, Kamaz has already opened up its capital to Daimler who owns 11% directly and manages the 4% held by the EBRD and who would like to increase its share. Maz is also linked to a joint venture with Man. Despite this appearance of a new agreement, the two manufacturers are still a long way from an operating partnership.

   
 

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THE USED CAR MARKET: STRONG POTENTIAL, ARTIFICIALLY DIMINISHED

   
       
 

"The potential for the imported used car market is very strong. Before the introduction of customs barriers at the end of 2008, these imports reached 530,000 units per year. They fell to 9000 in 2009" remembers Tatiana Arabaji, director of Autobusiness, a local professional magazine, "but the Russian imported used car market is today made up of several small players. There are no large-scale players capable of lobbying. Many importers, small businesses or solopreneurs use customs clearance methods that can not be talked about publicly. They do not want to draw attention to themselves". The two used-car market leaders in Russia are Blue Fish and AAA Auto. The latter is a Czech company registered in the Netherlands. The two prefer providing Western vehicles that were originally imported as new by dealerships. The used car market appears to be more stable than the one for new cars. During the recession, it fell by less than 20% whereas the new car market lost 50% according to the firm Autostat.

http://www.bluefish.ru/
http://www.aaaauto.ru/

   
 

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THE ALL-STEEL TYRE MARKET IS ATTRACTING MICHELIN

   
       
 

"The share of all-steel tires the Russian tyre market for heavy goods vehicles increased from 1% or 2% in 2000 to almost 50% in 2011. These tyres are subjected to great ordeals with slippery roads that are covered with chemical products in winter and ploughed up in the spring when the snow melts" says Yuri Antipov, Marketing Director Truck and Industrial tires at Michelin.
To get its products to market, Michelin employs teams of young technical sales staff in its regional departments. The visit more than 25,000 transport companies a year and check the state of tyres on more than 125,000 vehicles. The tyre manufacturer has had to adapt its sales argument to the specific features of the market. As the price of fuel in Russia is lower than in many countries, saving fuel is not a strong argument in favour of all-steels. Michelin is therefore highlighting a longer lifespan for its products.
To respond to the search for purchase savings, it has put together its own retreading circuit in Russia, in the Moscow region. Tyres from this circuit are almost twice as cheap to buy as new tyres and they have the same guarantee as new products with a lifespan of 10 years.

   
 

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YOUR PARTNER TO EXPLORE RUSSIAN MARKETS OPPORTUNITIES : +33 1 47 63 18 18  www.square-strategy.com

 
       
       
  MARKETS      
     
 

THE INCREASE IN SALES FALLS SLIGHTLY IN THE RUSSIAN MARKET

   
       
 

The Russian car market grew by 14% in the first six months of 2012 with 1,413,769 cars and LCVs sold compared to 1,236,386 for the same period in 2011 according to statistics from the AEB (Association of European Businesses in Russia, see below). After reaching 39% for the entire year 2011, the growth in sales is showing some signs of running out of steam. The trend towards a slowdown is continuing, growth was no more than 10% in June 2012 compared to June 2011. "We are noticing a slowdown, both for annual results and those that we calculate month by month. We are waiting to see a consolidation of results in the second half of the year" says Joerg Schreiber, Acting Chairman of the AEB Automobile Manufacturers Committee. He wants to be optimistic, "With more than 272,000 units sold in just the month of June, the market is showing its best monthly results since July 2008. The total volume of sales for the last six months is also at record levels for the last four years. We will probably see sales of more than 2.8 million units for the whole year". Total sales of cars and LCV were almost 2.9 million units in 2008, 2.1 million of those came from Western brands. This was probably an absolute record for the Russian market that has yet to be beaten.
The slowdown in the market is explained primarily by the fall in Avtovaz’s sales. The local manufacturer benefited well from the "scrappage premium" introduced by the Russian government at the end of the recession. Almost 80% of the 400,000 drivers that benefited from the programme in 2010 used it to buy Ladas. This gave Avtovaz 40% growth this year. However, after the premium ended in May 2011, the Russian manufacturers results started to decline. Its sales lost almost 40,000 units in the first six months of 2012 with 251,000 units compared to 291,500 for the same period in 2011. In June 2012, Avtovaz sold 45,000 units compared to 55,000 in June 2011. As it remains Russian market leader in absolute terms, a fall in its sales caused a slowdown across the whole market.
Western manufacturers held up well during this period, some showing moderate but stable growth. Renault climbed to second place in the Russian market with 95,579 units sold in the first six months of 2012 or an increase of 29% compared to the same period in 2011. It was closely followed by Chevrolet with 95,534 units sold, or an increase of 17%. Then came Kia with 90,997 units, an increase of 25,000. Hyundai sold 89,243 units, an increase of 21%. VW sold 81,050 units, a spectacular increase of 78%. Nissan’s sales reached 79,494 units in the first six months of 2012, an increase of 34%. Toyota: 76,809 units, an increase of 33%. Ford: 63,350 units, an increase of 18%. Skoda sold 45,982 units, an increase of 41%.
Daewoo featured among those that recorded some losses: 44,446 units sold for the first six months of 2012, a fall of 8% compared to the same period in 2011. Fiat recorded a greater loss; the manufacturer sold only 4053 units compared to 14,485 the first six months of 2011. The complete breakdown of its commercial relationship with his former partner Sollers is the probable cause of this.

   
       
  Learn more about the AEB    
       
 

The Automobile Manufacturers Committee of the Association of European Businesses in Russia publishes the monthly statistics for sales of cars and commercial vehicles, of all manufacturers, Western and local, operating on Russian territory. Without distinction, the statistics cover the sales of new vehicles assembled on-site or imported.
www.aebrus.ru

   
 

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THE NUMBER OF WESTERN CARS VARIES ACCORDING TO REGION

   
       
 

Moscow is a Russian city with more modern cars in relation to its population with 160 cars no more than seven years old per 1,000 inhabitants. 91% of these are of Western origin. These are the conclusions of a study carried out by local insurance company Alphastrakhovanie published in the daily Gazeta.ru. In the Moscow region, outside the capital itself, there are 152 cars less than seven years old for 1,000 inhabitants, 82% of which are of Western origin. If the leader’s spot in the capital is assured, it is not in the following cases. The autonomous region of Khanty-Mansijsk is in third place with 149 cars less than seven years old per 1,000 inhabitants, 77% of which are Western brands. Located in Siberia, this province is entirely devoted to oil and gas extraction which explains the relatively high income levels of its 1.5 million inhabitants. Tatarstan, another autonomous province with an oil godsend, has 138 cars less than seven years old per 1,000 inhabitants. However, only 54% of them are Western brands. The city of St Petersburg has 137 cars less than seven years old per 1,000 inhabitants (one quarter less in its surrounding region) 86% of which are Western brands. The region of Samara has 131 cars less than seven years old per 1,000 inhabitants. Only 49% of these are Western brands although this is not surprising in Avtovaz’s local region. The other regions show performances that are much lower. The national average is 91 cars less than seven years old for 1,000 inhabitants. In all 13 million cars less than seven years old, or 36.5% of the total. 67% of these are Western brands.

   
 

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IN BRIEF

     
       
 

Nissan is planning to double the production capacity of its St Petersburg plant by 2014. The manufacturer is planning an investment of €167 million to increase its current 50,000 unit capacity to 100,000 units per year. The plant has been operational since 2009 and assembles Nissan Teana, X-Trail and Murano models. Two other models including the Qashqai will be added after the extension. The manufacturer hopes to benefit from an assembly line at Avtovaz from 2013. Nissan will be part of the new financial operation that will give the Renault-Nissan Alliance control over the main Russian car plant. Nissan sold 138,827 cars in the Russian market in 2011, a 74% increase on the previous year.

With sales reaching 228,900 cars, the VW group showed a growth of 74% in Russia in 2011 or double the average in the Russian market. The increase even reached 100% for the VW brand, a small record in the market this year even if sales of 108,000 units in 2011 only put it in eighth place. Sales of Skodas grew by 62% with 74,100 cars in 2011. 23,300 Audis were sold.

The Russian parliament will soon debate the appropriateness of introducing a specific fiscal regime for importers and drivers of electric cars. Among the measures being considered are an exemption from customs duties for importers, from VAT for manufacturers and from road tax for drivers of electric vehicles. The market for electric cars is currently marginal and limited to the capital. Mitsubishi, the only manufacturer to import them into Russia, sold 76 in 2011, 20 of these were destined for the City Hall department responsible for the environment. Moscow has 28 battery recharging points.

The tyre manufacturer Cordiant (ex Sibur Russian Tyres) is banking strongly on the development of the all-steel tyre market for heavy goods vehicles The manufacturer is leader in its local market and is planning to add a new specific production line to that already in place in its Laroslavl plant.

Yokohama launched its new plant in Lipetsk in the south of Russia in May 2012. The site is configured to produce up to 1.4 million tyres per year with a possibility of expansion. The manufacturer has invested almost €120 million in this site that took two years to build. It will produce Series C drive 2 tyres as well as 13 to 18-inch studded tyres. The bulk of production will be destined for the domestic market. Yokohama sold 3 million tyres in Russia in 2011.

Pneuform, a Czech manufacturer of tyres has just finalised negotiations Yokohama. "We will be among the suppliers for press forms and containers as well. This negotiation has taken three years", said Ivan Ladziansky, purchasing manager with Pneuform, "We won this contract because we already have a maintenance workshop for forms in Laroslavl, we have added the equipment. We have this advantage over our competitors as their reaction time is greater than ours by two or three weeks". The Russian market accounts for almost 30% of this supplier’s turnover. It is now preparing to start discussions with Continental with a view to equipping the German tyre manufacturer’s new plant in Russia.

Among Continental’s ranges, Matador and Barnum in the eco and eco+ segments are the best sellers in the Russian market. They are joined by winter tyres sold under the Gislaved brand. According to the company, sales of these enable distributors to improve their margins considerably. Another sign of success is the appearance in the Russian market of copies of the Gislaved range, NordFrost, sold under the Chinese Sunny Tyre brand.

   
 

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AGENCE DU FIL - MASTER THE RUSSIAN MARKET THANKS TO OUR PUBLICATIONS - www.agencedufil.fr  
       
     
  MILESTONES      
       
  $65 billion: the value of the passenger vehicle and LCV market in Russia in 2011 according to Ernst & Young and ASM Holding. $57 billion of this is accounted for by sales of Western brands imported all assembled in Russia.

15%: the maximum amount of customs duty on passenger cars and LCVs imported in 2018 following Russia's joining the WTO. Currently, these duties are 30%. They should fall to 25% after membership and continue to fall progressively in the following years.

109,600 units: the value of new heavy goods vehicles in Russia in 2011 according to Ernst & Young, ASM Holding and LMC Automotive. This market should reach 180,000 units in 2015 according to their estimates.
   
 

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AGENDA

     
       
 

MIMS - Automechanika : from 27 to 30 August 2012 at Moscow, Expocenter Krasnaya Presnia.
The MIMS powered by Automechanika is the largest exhibition in the field of after-sales service in Russia. The 16th edition of MIMS powered by Automechanika Moscow will take place in Moscow’s Expocentre, featuring a wide range of spare parts, components, and equipment for vehicle servicing.
mims.ru

   
       
  Interauto : from 28 to 31 August 2012 at Moscow, Crocus Expo.
The 8th International exhibition InterAuto will be held in August 2012 within the frames of the Moscow International Automobile Salon (MIAS).
eng.interauto-expo.ru
   
       
 

Autotrans : from 5 to 8 September 2012 at Moscow, Crocus Expo.
COMTRANS/Autotrans is the biggest exhibition of commercial motor vehicles in Russia, CIS and East European countries.
www.mediaglobe.pro

   
       
  Autoretail Russia 2012 Forum : from 29 to 31 October 2012 at Moscow.
Organised by the Adam Smith Institute, the event will bring together top executives from both vehicle manufacturers and leading dealerships.
www.adamsmithconferences.com
   
       
 

The Russian Automotive Forum : March 2013 at Moscow.
An international conference organised by the Adam Smith Institute. Interventions are planned from the main players from the local and international industry. You can meat the cream of the leaders in Russian automobile industry and their purchasing directors.
www.adamsmithconferences.com

   
       
 

Tyre and Rubber Expo : from 24 to 27 April 2013, at Moscow, Expocenter.
Over 200 manufacturers will introduce their range of tyres for all types of vehicle, rubber parts for the automotive industry, raw materials and components for the tyre industry, as well as the parts for production, recapping, balancing etc. The organisers are expecting 7,000 trade visitors.
www.rubber-expo.ru

   
 

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